Transcript

We hear the president and pegs speak of destruction, destruction. There's been a lot of physical destruction, but there's
6 seconds
been almost zero destruction of meaningful strategic capabilities of Iran. Iran always went into this
15 seconds
conflict uh knowing that its ballistic missile and drone capabilities would serve as the foundation of their
21 seconds
military response. Uh so for Pete Heg and the president to redefine this war as um you know based upon Iran's naval
29 seconds
prowess as if the Iranian Navy ever um you know positioned or postured itself to be a competitor of the United States Navy or uh as as an air power. Um no,
43 seconds
Iran never said that it was either of those. what Iran said, and I was told by the Iranian president in person together with the foreign minister last
51 seconds
September, um that Iran's strategic deterrence comes from their conventional ballistic missile capabilities. Uh that
1 minute
this is, you know, how they postured themselves and this is how they would um hopefully deter somebody from attacking
1 minute, 8 seconds
them, but if somebody attacked to punish the attackers. You know, deterrence doesn't work unless people know and understand that there will be a
1 minute, 15 seconds
consequence for your actions. There are many people who believe that the Iranian missile and drone um capabilities were overhyped, that Iran lacked the political will to uh to follow through.
1 minute, 27 seconds
Um not anymore. Now we know that Iran has the ability, the wherewithal to employ these weapons, employ them effectively. They hammered the United
1 minute, 36 seconds
States military installations in the region. They punish the state of state state state of Israel and they
1 minute, 44 seconds
send a clear signal to the Gulf Arab states that the totality of their infrastructure is at risk should they continue to support the United States in
1 minute, 51 seconds
this illegal war of aggression. So Iran holds literally all the cards. They have not been defeated at all. Not even
1 minute, 59 seconds
close. um they're getting in fact they were getting stronger as the war went on because their underground missile factories started kicking in and um you
2 minutes, 8 seconds
know not only were they launching missiles they were producing missiles.
2 minutes, 11 seconds
It's underground missile production capability that's immune to anything the United States does overhead. Um you know
2 minutes, 19 seconds
here we have the president threatening you know the potential resumption of military force. I again want to point the following facts out.
2 minutes, 27 seconds
There's nothing left to bomb.
2 minutes, 30 seconds
Everything's underground and we can't destroy that. Anything that's above ground has zero military value. If it was of military value, we would have
2 minutes, 37 seconds
struck it already. Um, so we will simply be bombing buildings, probably buildings affiliated with civilians. But no matter what, if you think at this juncture,
2 minutes, 47 seconds
more than 40 days into this conflict,
2 minutes, 49 seconds
that Iran has left anything of value in a building inside, you know, inside their nation. I have a bridge in Brooklyn. And I'd like to sell you. Um
2 minutes, 58 seconds
there's nothing in Iran to bomb. So these threats of the president that he's going to blow things up and obliterate
3 minutes, 5 seconds
Iran. It's it's just it's it's just bluster. Um there's By the way, I'm sorry. I want to interrupt here just this image that the video Gary's showing you here. This this
3 minutes, 14 seconds
shows how these underground uh bunkers are or missile cities are specifically designed to survive an atomic blast.
3 minutes, 22 seconds
Even that is not going to take them out. They just want to reinforce that.
3 minutes, 25 seconds
Yeah. Look, the Iranian the Iranians are some of the smartest people in the world and they've been studying how the United States fights for more than two decades
3 minutes, 33 seconds
now and they have prepared themselves to not only survive but to thrive uh to prevail and they were winning. It was
3 minutes, 41 seconds
not the Iranians that sought uh the ceasefire bringing an end. It was the United States. In fact, Iran was going to reject any effort at a ceasefire
3 minutes, 50 seconds
because they just simply don't trust the United States when China pressured them. And China said, "It's imperative that,
3 minutes, 56 seconds
you know, we bring this conflict to an end because it's impacting our our economy." Um, but the Iranians aren't the ones saying, "Please, please,
4 minutes, 4 seconds
please, let's bring this to an end."
4 minutes, 5 seconds
They would like to see the war end. They would like to see the sanctions lifted.
4 minutes, 9 seconds
They would like to see uh their economy function smoothly. Um, but, you know,
4 minutes, 13 seconds
they're willing to to to see this to the bitter end. They believe in what they're doing. They um you know, the people of Iran were actually quite angry when the
4 minutes, 21 seconds
ceasefire happened and the negotiating team went to Islamabad. They were in the streets saying, "No, no peace with America. No peace with Israel." Um and again, some people say, "Well, wow,
4 minutes, 30 seconds
that's pretty harsh. Uh they're very violent people." No, they didn't start this war. We attacked them in an event that makes Pearl Harbor pale in
4 minutes, 38 seconds
comparison. We assassinated their supreme leader. And in the process, you know, we carried out attacks that
4 minutes, 45 seconds
included a school where we killed 175 innocent civilians. 160 odd of them were innocent girls between the age of 6 and
4 minutes, 53 seconds
12. This is what we did and this is what we're doing. Um th this president is
5 minutes, 1 second
I mean I I have trouble coming up with words that I can say in civil company. Um, but this this this president,
5 minutes, 7 seconds
Scott, on that point you just raised up here because I wonder if you can draw some uh analogies maybe to help our audience understand the impact of this.
5 minutes, 14 seconds
You mentioned that issue with the the school girls getting killed. Uh when the when the negotiating team flew to
5 minutes, 21 seconds
Islamabad, uh they had some artifacts from that time. They had some photographs and some backpacks and shoes and other stuff on board one of the
5 minutes, 29 seconds
aircraft that were going on there. How important is this? Is this something like used to be in the the US? you know they remember the Alamo and all that there something this rallying cry is
5 minutes, 37 seconds
anything similar to that going on with the Iranian side oh this has become one of the defining um you know moments of this conflict um
5 minutes, 47 seconds
the the murder the assassination of Ali Kaman is one um the supreme leader who was at home I mean it doesn't take an
5 minutes, 55 seconds
intelligence uh you know specialist to uh to track him down he was at home with his 14-month-old granddaughter when he
6 minutes, 4 seconds
was murdered uh in a surprise attack. Um an act of perity. Um that same morning
6 minutes, 11 seconds
um a cruise missile struck a school in Manab um in in in in Iran along the
6 minutes, 17 seconds
southern coast. Um that that that that the missile that struck, you know,
6 minutes, 22 seconds
didn't kill everybody uh but it caused some damage. the uh the the principal and the surviving teachers um rallied the children, the surviving children,
6 minutes, 31 seconds
and brought them in and took them to the safest place they knew. You know how when you have a tornado uh in the Midwest, there's the basement or there's
6 minutes, 39 seconds
some the gymnasium that's deemed to be a safe place. This was the prayer hall. It was the the the most strongly built portion of the building. They brought
6 minutes, 48 seconds
the surviving children in and huddled them in while their parents were being called to come and and get them. Um, we had another cruise missile flying
6 minutes, 56 seconds
overhead. These are advanced uh block four cruise missiles that have retargeting capability on board. They have a camera that's capturing imagery
7 minutes, 4 seconds
and broadcasting imagery back to the command center on the ship. In this case, the USS Vincens. No, I'm sorry.
7 minutes, 10 seconds
I'm sorry. Not the Vincent. The Vincent is the one that shot down an airplane and killed 290 people. Um, I'll get the name of the ship in a minute, but the um
7 minutes, 19 seconds
the people the guys on the ship were looking at these images and they saw,
7 minutes, 23 seconds
you know, humans clustering in. The the imagery is of enough resolution that they could see the painted flowers and the painted playgrounds on the ground.
7 minutes, 31 seconds
So, they knew this was a school. And yet, as the people congregated in, that missile was sent out, redirected, and
7 minutes, 38 seconds
reattacked and killed everybody in that in that building. All the women, the principal died holding children in her
7 minutes, 45 seconds
arms. You know, teachers were were killed shielding their their students from the harm brought by the United States. This was a deliberate act of
7 minutes, 53 seconds
murder and the Iranians have identified the commanding officer and the executive officer of the ship involved and they're calling them out as war criminals,
8 minutes
saying these are the guys responsible for mur. This is a big deal. This is a huge deal. This is remember the Alamo.
8 minutes, 7 seconds
This is, you know, any any rallying crowd you have. And these are the most innocent. When you go and look at the stories, I mean, the Iranians aren't
8 minutes, 15 seconds
playing propaganda here. I mean, there's a lot of Americans and they disgust me.
8 minutes, 19 seconds
But every one of those girls there had a backstory. Every one of the the children killed there. These were kids with a life. And Iran is a modern nation state.
8 minutes, 28 seconds
This is not, you know, we're, you know,
8 minutes, 30 seconds
we hear these people talking about these savages. The president of the United States calls them savages. These girls had more culture and more education than the president would ever have. They have
8 minutes, 37 seconds
more in their pinky. These are girls who are training to be gymnasts, training to to be doctors. Uh they had visions of being lawyers to help their families. Uh
8 minutes, 46 seconds
one of the girls was in a contest where she would memorize passages from the Quran. And she was two weeks away from going to Thran, the capital city to
8 minutes, 54 seconds
enter into a major competition where she won. It would get her on a pathway where she could be a journalist and do broadcast television. Um these are the
9 minutes, 3 seconds
people we killed. We America killed them. Our weapons directed by our officers. taking orders from our leadership. And the Iranians have made this a rallying cry. It disgusts them.
9 minutes, 13 seconds
It enrages them. And yet they sit there and and they have their they just poo pooed by American negotiators who,
9 minutes, 21 seconds
frankly speaking, JD Vance wasn't there to negotiate a successful outcome. JD Vance was there to prolong a a
9 minutes, 29 seconds
deliberate attempt by the United States to reframe what was going on as Iranian desperation. Um, the Iranians weren't
9 minutes, 38 seconds
desperate. They came very well prepared to have an agreement. They they they had done their research. They had experts.
9 minutes, 44 seconds
They had done they had the research papers. They had the facts. They had everything. We came with Jared Kushner and and Steve Whitoff and JD Vance and
9 minutes, 51 seconds
nothing. Yeah. 300 people showed up with nothing. Zero. We didn't come in and say, "Here's our position. Here's what we want. This is how we think." They
9 minutes, 59 seconds
said, "Hey, let we we'll see what you got." No, we reject it and they walked away. Why? Why? Why are we doing this? I think it's a game being played by the
10 minutes, 6 seconds
president because remember, let me make this point too.
10 minutes, 11 seconds
If we're evaluating what's going on right now from a geopolitical perspective, from a military analytical
10 minutes, 18 seconds
perspective, um, from an economic perspective, you're doing it all wrong.
10 minutes, 22 seconds
Ladies and gentlemen, the only perspective that matters when talking about this conflict is the perspective of Donald Trump's ego. That's all this
10 minutes, 31 seconds
is about. This is about Donald Trump very concerned that his brand, his legacy is being tarnished, perhaps irreparably and fatally if he can't
10 minutes, 40 seconds
survive the midterm elections. That's the end of his political legacy. And for a narcissist like Trump to see everything he has built collapse like
10 minutes, 47 seconds
this and failure is unacceptable. So he needs to deflect responsibility
10 minutes, 54 seconds
for the failure, his failure in this conflict onto the shoulders of others.
10 minutes, 59 seconds
And I think JD Vance was thrown out there as a sacrificial lamb. JD Vance led the initial team with Witoff and
11 minutes, 6 seconds
Kushner. And when the story is finally written, it's going to be Vance was unable to close the deal. I, Donald Trump, was able to come in and get a
11 minutes, 14 seconds
deal. I don't think we're going to go on to a next phase of bombing. I could be wrong. I mean, of course, anything can happen. It's a very dangerous situation right now. And as I said, a blockade is
11 minutes, 23 seconds
an act of war. But we, you know, the military knows that what are we going to do? Bomb what? What targets do you want
11 minutes, 32 seconds
bombed? Because from now on it becomes a literal, you know, without any debate.
11 minutes, 38 seconds
War crime because we'll be bombing civilians. It's collective punishment what we're doing. That is a war crime.
11 minutes, 43 seconds
There's no legitimate military activity to attack and we can't do it. We're out of weapons, out of precision strike weapons. We're out of ballistic missile
11 minutes, 51 seconds
defense. So the same situation um the the the deficiencies and failures that led us to seek a ceasefire are are not going to be cured. Iran is stronger.
12 minutes, 2 seconds
Iran is better. We'll just repeat this scenario. So I don't believe we're going to move into the next phase. I think what we're seeing right now is a lot of
12 minutes, 9 seconds
political jockeying as Donald Trump seeks desperately to find the perfect sequence of events that allows him to
12 minutes, 16 seconds
slip in, be the one to negotiate a deal and declare victory and say, "I'm the man that did it." you know, he he may have that intention,
12 minutes, 24 seconds
but I I evidence is starting to acrue that uh there has been some pretty profound miscalculations up to this
12 minutes, 31 seconds
point, which does not give any optimism for how this is going to get resolved anytime near term, but and I'd like your view on this. So I think that the the
12 minutes, 40 seconds
it's pretty clear now that the initial going in process is that there was this belief among President Trump which was
12 minutes, 47 seconds
fed to him by both Israeli and and American officials on the inside that this is going to be something quick.
12 minutes, 52 seconds
It's going to be like Venezuela. We're instead of snatching Maduro, we're going to assassinate Ali Kami and then the other people will be more reasonable and
13 minutes
then they'll talk and they'll give us what we want. We'll take their oil. Uh two thumbs up. It's a in a big victory.
13 minutes, 6 seconds
That didn't happen. And now all of a sudden there, oh snap, what do we do now? And then they had to figure out a war plan on the fly. Clearly was not resourced. And they bring another
13 minutes, 14 seconds
aircraft carrier in. They bring some troops in later. It's just totally disjointed. It appears that there's some evidence that in this negotiation here,
13 minutes, 22 seconds
he may have meant what you suggested there. He also may have had some idea that that because I'm threatening that I'm going to get a submission into what we want here. But now that is failed.
13 minutes, 33 seconds
And in this soundbite we just showed you, you they asked President Trump,
13 minutes, 37 seconds
"What what's the play now? Do you think that they're going to come back and you use this as leverage?" And you can see in his mind, he's like, "Uh, sure. Yeah,
13 minutes, 43 seconds
that that sounds good." I read that is I have no idea what we're going to do next. I guess we got to figure that on the fly. Do you see any possibility that
13 minutes, 52 seconds
President Trump literally has no idea what to do next?
13 minutes, 55 seconds
Well, there's no doubt in my mind that he has no idea what to do next. That everything that's going on right now is to buy time. um as he desperately looks
14 minutes, 3 seconds
for something. This is why I've I've always said that um I think it's the you know, the Russians will save the day because I think the the Russians and the
14 minutes, 11 seconds
Chinese um you know have a clear vision of you know what needs to be done to
14 minutes, 18 seconds
bring an end to this conflict but also you know how to balance um you know the the needs, wants and desires of all
14 minutes, 27 seconds
parties involved so that you get an equitable outcome. And for Iran, the equitable outcome would be, you know,
14 minutes, 35 seconds
allowing being allowed to continue to enrich not to a nuclear bomb, but enrich for a peaceful nuclear program. That is
14 minutes, 42 seconds
their lawful right. Um and also the the straight of Hormuz. um you know Iran you
14 minutes, 49 seconds
know may not the way this could be negotiated is that Iran doesn't get permanent control of straight of war moves but because this
14 minutes, 56 seconds
war was thrust upon them by the United States Israel and the Gulf Arab states that Iran has an inherent right now to
15 minutes, 5 seconds
seize control and you know put out a toll to raise money that could be used for re reconstruction. Um I think this
15 minutes, 13 seconds
is a a legitimate thing. it it it doesn't violate international law if there's an agreement in writing that
15 minutes, 20 seconds
Iran will you know take tolls and this is this resolves the issue of the United States having to write a big check uh to
15 minutes, 28 seconds
for reparations which is something the Iranians are demanding um for Trump you know here's a chance for him to you know
15 minutes, 35 seconds
say he's a peacemaker I mean he's already said I have uh I I've I've reset the region uh like nobody's ever done
15 minutes, 42 seconds
before so he can make the argument that this was all necess neessary for a regional reset that um there was no chance for peace. Um you know using the
15 minutes, 50 seconds
old framework that a war was necessary to shake things up so that you could now come together with a new you know a new
15 minutes, 57 seconds
way of doing business together. China showed has shown tremendous political um acumen. Remember they're the ones that brought the Iranians and the Saudis
16 minutes, 6 seconds
together uh in a repro. Uh the Russians have very good relations with all the parties involved including the United States ironically. Um, so I I do think that there's a chance for, you know,
16 minutes, 17 seconds
Russia and China to step in and and help shape the events. The idea of the United States and Iran successfully carrying out bilateral negotiations even if
16 minutes, 26 seconds
moderated by Pakistan isn't going to happen because it be too much about, you know, the United States would have to
16 minutes, 35 seconds
actually posture in a way that leaves no doubt that they lost this war and that's politically unacceptable to this president. So, there's going to have to
16 minutes, 43 seconds
be some gamesmanship played where, you know, the the the substance of the uh of the outcome is in favor of Iran, but the
16 minutes, 51 seconds
perception uh can be balanced so that Donald Trump can declare victory and walk away because otherwise there's no incentive for him to um to walk away. Um
17 minutes
you know, he'll he'll desperately be looking for a for for you know, a positive outcome using military resources if there's no guarantee that
17 minutes, 7 seconds
he can have a positive outcome by seeking peace. So, so he's it seems like though he's he's walked himself into a near-term trap. It's hard for me. I I
17 minutes, 15 seconds
mean, I can see what you're saying there about that would be a a plausible exit and and the fact that he had that in his hand. He could have done that in his
17 minutes, 23 seconds
past negotiations, but it didn't. We we spoke to uh Professor Morandi earlier this morning uh who said that the first
17 minutes, 29 seconds
couple of sessions of this were were actually positive more than they expected and then something happened after the second pause and everything
17 minutes, 37 seconds
went downhill. Well, now then at that same press conference we just showed you from President Trump a minute ago. Now he's saying that it turns out Iran is calling him back and asking for a deal.
17 minutes, 46 seconds
Now we've been called this morning by the right people, the appropriate people,
17 minutes, 52 seconds
and they want to work a deal. They would like to work a deal.
17 minutes, 54 seconds
Is it your anticipation, Mr. president that other countries will assist in this effort to blockade Iran and those
18 minutes, 2 seconds
other countries are going to also I mean now he says that they want to deal but that they called him but I mean just look at a couple of uh uh this is
18 minutes, 10 seconds
this is Abas Roxy who was one of the chief negotiators from there uh he says that in intensive talks at the highest level in 47 years Iran engaged with the
18 minutes, 18 seconds
US in good faith to end the war but when we were just inches away from Islamabad memorandum of understanding we incurred
18 minutes, 26 seconds
maximalist shifting goalpost and blockade which validates what professor morandi told us zero lessons learned goodwill begets goodwill enmity begets
18 minutes, 35 seconds
enmity and then uh golly buff uh he posted this also late yesterday he said enjoy the current pump figures interestingly he's using a map here
18 minutes, 43 seconds
that's Washington DC in the middle uh I guess he's trying to point out something uh the so-called blockade soon you'll see you'll be nostalgic for four or five
18 minutes, 52 seconds
dollar gas so that doesn't sound like the kind of guys that are going to be calling Trump back this morning and I don't know, begging him to come back. What do you make of that?
19 minutes
Well, the Iranians have always accused Donald Trump of negotiating with himself. Um, meaning that there's, you know, they're not reaching out. Um, what
19 minutes, 10 seconds
what I believe has happened is that the Iranians have told the Pakistanis that they're willing to continue the negotiations based upon the formula that
19 minutes, 18 seconds
was being agreed upon, the Islamabad min memorandum of understanding. um you know and so it's the Pakistanis that are
19 minutes, 26 seconds
calling Trump. Trump never said it was the Iranians calling. He said they've reached out the appropriate people etc.
19 minutes, 31 seconds
It's the Pakistanis calling them saying hey come back to the table. Um but it's not the Iranians calling the the Iranians right now.
19 minutes, 40 seconds
They don't need Donald Trump now. They would like to have peace on here but they don't need this. Donald Trump needs this. This is a requirement for Donald
19 minutes, 48 seconds
Trump. So I think you know the fact that there is a deal ready to be made.
19 minutes, 54 seconds
Understand Donald Trump couldn't let JD Vance be the one who successfully negotiated that deal. Donald Trump shares the glory with nobody. He will
20 minutes, 1 second
share the glory. So JD Vance went in there did all the hard work got him up to right about the cross line and then Donald Trump went kill it. Boom boom
20 minutes, 9 seconds
boom boom boom hardline position. Da da da. Netanyahu calls. Da da da da. End of negotiations. And now Donald Trump at
20 minutes, 17 seconds
the appropriate time is going to slide in and he's going to get all the glory.
20 minutes, 21 seconds
He's going to he's going to be the one that closes the deal. Um but you know he in the meantime he has to posture.
20 minutes, 27 seconds
Remember he has to be able to make the case to ignorant Americans who don't know all of
20 minutes, 34 seconds
the subtleties here that it was his pressure that created the possibility for a deal. See that was the problem that they were going to get a deal too
20 minutes, 43 seconds
easy. Um and and and and therefore it look like an American surrender. Um can't have that. And so you have to get
20 minutes, 51 seconds
it up to the finish line, stop, pull JD Vance, blame the Iranians in transient blockade threats, boom, boom, boom,
20 minutes, 58 seconds
slide back in, close the deal, and say it was only because of our threats that the Iranians finally came across the finish line.
21 minutes, 5 seconds
Now that that is fascinating because I can definitely see that happen. the the flying net that ointment though is will
21 minutes, 12 seconds
the Iranians play ball with that because I I as you said beginning at the beginning they don't need a deal here.
21 minutes, 19 seconds
They want a deal. They don't need one and they're certainly not going to just like backtrack and say all right we'll give you everything you want so that you can come out looking good. Um or or do
21 minutes, 27 seconds
you think that they would would the Iranians be willing to let him get public credit if it gets the terms that they need and ends the war?
21 minutes, 35 seconds
I don't think Iran cares about domestic American politics. So Donald Trump can sell this any way he wants to the American people. I don't think the
21 minutes, 42 seconds
Iranians are in a PR game with the United States. The Iranians want very basic things. One, they will continue to
21 minutes, 50 seconds
enrich uranium. How that's defined, I would imagine, would be similar to the deal that was uh almost reached before
21 minutes, 56 seconds
we attacked Iran on February 28th. Um so we already have a solution to that.
22 minutes, 1 second
That's what the audience needs to understand. This problem's already been solved to the satisfaction of the United States. and Israel uh closing all
22 minutes, 10 seconds
possibilities for Iran to develop a nuclear weapon and yet Iran gets to retain its enrichment capability which is all they want. The pride of saying we
22 minutes, 18 seconds
get to do this. Um and so that's already resolved. It's just a matter of the president coming in and here's the president he can spin it and say I was
22 minutes, 27 seconds
able to get the deal that Barack Obama couldn't. Barack Obama could only get the JCPOA which had sunset clauses and at the end massive enrichment to as much
22 minutes, 36 seconds
material as you wanted out of control here. He'll be able to say, "Nope, we permanently shut the door on a pathway to nuclear weapons. This is the best
22 minutes, 44 seconds
deal. I gave you this deal. A better deal. I told you I would get a better deal than um than Barack Obama." So there he spins it. The Iranians don't
22 minutes, 52 seconds
care what he says to the American people. They could care less. What they care about is the end result,
22 minutes, 57 seconds
continued enrichment. It's the same thing with the straight of Hormuz.
23 minutes
There's a deal to be made there. Um whether it's uh you know some sort of revenue sharing uh some sort of
23 minutes, 7 seconds
consortium uh of of collecting revenues that are passed out um that allows Iran to retain the physical control of the
23 minutes, 17 seconds
straight hormuz but with to be sold in a different way where the United States gets to say the favorite Donald Trump
23 minutes, 24 seconds
thing. I'm making you money. I'm getting revenue from the straight horses.
23 minutes, 30 seconds
America's there. We're seeing everything. We're controlling everything. We're America. And the the mouth breathers back in America go,
23 minutes, 38 seconds
"Wow, he's the greatest. This is 5D chess. He's awesome." When all it is is the Iranians going, "Give the guy a nickel. Um, you know, make him go away."
23 minutes, 47 seconds
That that's that's a deal. That's their missiles. We're not going to touch the missiles. The Iranians are never going to give up the missiles because that's their deterrence. And frankly, we're
23 minutes, 55 seconds
just going to suck that one up. Um, and that that's it. There's the deal right there. Um, that it can be made right
24 minutes, 3 seconds
now. And Donald Trump gets to sell it anyway. When it comes to, you know,
24 minutes, 7 seconds
forces leaving the Middle East, Iran doesn't get to dictate that outcome. However,
24 minutes, 12 seconds
it's an outcome that's going to happen no matter what. And so, Donald Trump gets to say, "I reset the region. We now
24 minutes, 19 seconds
have peace and stability. I can pull the boys home. we don't need to keep him here anymore. See, makes it look like he
24 minutes, 26 seconds
did a good thing. Um when in fact he got his butt kicked and he's retreating. For the Iranians, people say, "Well, what's in it for Iran?" Imagine for the first
24 minutes, 35 seconds
time in five decades being able to get total control of your economy and sell the oil and gas that you produce on the
24 minutes, 42 seconds
market at fair market value. and the money comes in without restrictions that you're able to work with the global
24 minutes, 49 seconds
finance um uh you know system um to get investments coming in get China coming in without fear of secondary sanctions getting the Russians coming in without
24 minutes, 57 seconds
fear of secondary sanctions and this and for the Iranian government for the first time to deliver on the promise of prosperity to the Iranian people you
25 minutes, 6 seconds
people say what's in it for Iran that's it the better future this is it this is the better future that has Iran has eluded Iran for vi five decades. It's
25 minutes, 15 seconds
available now. Iran can join bricks without restrictions. Iran can become involved in the European Economic Union, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization,
25 minutes, 24 seconds
all without restrictions. Uh able to maximize their economic potential and Iran will become one of the most, you know,
25 minutes, 33 seconds
prosperous nations in the region. Um and that's what's there for the Iranian people. But they're not going to sell their soul to get to that objective.
25 minutes, 43 seconds
Well, that's exactly what I was going to say because there there are some big headwinds against that inside of Iran because there are we've heard from some
25 minutes, 51 seconds
experts here just recently that there uh there was a lot of uh I guess I don't know if conservative is the right term.
25 minutes, 57 seconds
Uh but those who were who were against any of this uh working with us because they said we can't trust them at all.
26 minutes, 2 seconds
They backstabbed us so many times and done all this stuff. So you can even if they agree to this stuff, you can't agree to it. We need to try to have a
26 minutes, 9 seconds
military uh solution. But so far the the u I think they call them the reformers the elements the the Galibbah and and
26 minutes, 18 seconds
the Pesken they have been able to run rough shot because they want that outcome but like there are headwinds for the Iranian side there's headwinds for
26 minutes, 25 seconds
the American side and for all that stuff you talked about that Trump may be man uh you know working in his mind to try to get done to somehow twist things
26 minutes, 34 seconds
around no matter how many people got killed to make him look good. Uh that may be his intent, but there's headwinds here, too. Let me just show you a couple
26 minutes, 41 seconds
here. Here's uh Mike Pompeo uh seeming to want to, you know, do anything besides have the negotiated settlement.
26 minutes, 48 seconds
He wants a military victory over Iran.
26 minutes, 55 seconds
Iran now has a very difficult decision to make. Um it's already had significant resources depleted. It's already found
27 minutes, 2 seconds
itself in a politically difficult spot with most of its leadership wiped out. But they'll now have the choice to make.
27 minutes, 8 seconds
President Trump has essentially gone for the jugular. He will cut off essentially all revenue that has been flowing into the Iranian regime. And so now they'll
27 minutes, 15 seconds
have to decide. But imagine that they fire on an American vessel or American escorted vessel that's moving through.
27 minutes, 20 seconds
President Trump will unleash even more fury and that can only put them in a lesser position. So I think President Trump has done a very smart thing. I
27 minutes, 28 seconds
think this is superior to having put boots on the ground to try and take one of the islands. This will put not only the Iranians but the Chinese in a very
27 minutes, 36 seconds
difficult spot where now they will have to buy marketbased marketpriced oil or convince the Iranians to stand down and allow the straight to be reopened.
27 minutes, 45 seconds
One thing you said right there it lends some credibility to your to your theory that maybe there's not we don't want to restart the war here by saying well you
27 minutes, 52 seconds
know now we don't need a new boots just shut down the straight of Hormuz that's thing we don't have to worry about taking Car Island anymore. Uh, and boy, that's put them in a hard position here.
28 minutes, 1 second
But, uh, I I don't know that the Iranian side, any of the crews over there are going to play along with that and give him what he's asking for.
28 minutes, 9 seconds
Well, first of all, let's talk about this blockade for a second. Um, how many ships we have available? 13 ships available. Um, and I'm pretty sure this
28 minutes, 18 seconds
includes at least one carrier battle group, which means that we have a carrier and then we have the escorts,
28 minutes, 25 seconds
probably, you know, between three to five ships that are dedicated to this.
28 minutes, 30 seconds
They're not intercepting any ships. The carrier is doing its thing. And um, the escorts are providing a picket uh, air
28 minutes, 38 seconds
defense picket. It'll probably be reinforced given the fact that Iran is a serious player here, reinforced with other ships. Um, so now what we're we're
28 minutes, 46 seconds
we're we're looking at, you know, maybe seven, eight ships maximum to enforce a blockade. As people look at a map,
28 minutes, 55 seconds
really look at a map, understand that our ships can't get anywhere near the straight of Hormuz. Um because once we
29 minutes, 3 seconds
and a blockade is an act of war, Iran will sink these ships. So now we're going to have to wait till the ships clear the straight Omuz um you know and
29 minutes, 12 seconds
then get out into the Indian Ocean. Um big ocean, little ships, lots of ships transiting. We're not going to do
29 minutes, 20 seconds
anything. This blockade is a joke. A straightup joke. Um and what are we going to do? Board a Chinese ship? Board
29 minutes, 27 seconds
a Russian ship? Um you know this again we we lack the resources to fully do
29 minutes, 34 seconds
Mike Pompeo should know this. uh he should understand this but you know he's just he's he's a propagandist mouthpiece
29 minutes, 42 seconds
right now instead of doing reality but again the job right now of the Pompeo and world is to create the impression
29 minutes, 49 seconds
that we have the ability to impose this blockade and they were going to threaten it but watch what happens the first time
29 minutes, 57 seconds
we get push back you know Trump is going to find a reason to say I've reconsidered now they they've reached out to me and they've talked to me and
30 minutes, 5 seconds
we're going to go ahead and pull pull back on this um on this blockade here because we we think there's a window of
30 minutes, 11 seconds
opportunity here and and all that this we can't do the blockade, Colonel. I mean, it's it's impossible uh to do the
30 minutes, 19 seconds
blockade. We don't have the resources to do it. I know what happens when the ships start skirting the Iranian Pakistani coast. How close do we want to
30 minutes, 28 seconds
get? Because that's a standard smugglers route. They'll come out and they'll they they skirt the coast. What are we going to come in and intercept them in Iranian
30 minutes, 36 seconds
coastal waters? I don't think so. And and even if we try to get them outside of the coastal waters, they'll sink our ships. They've got the We can't do this.
30 minutes, 44 seconds
The Iranians are not going to just sail out of the straight or Hormuz, you know,
30 minutes, 48 seconds
and put a big target on them and and sail straight to an American ship saying, "Here we are. Board us." That's not how this works.
Sync to video time